Thursday 30 April 2015

Daily Market Review 30.04.2015



STOCKS
On Thursday, before the market opens, Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM, -0.06%) is expected to report first quarter earnings. With the plunging oil prices over the last year, investors are interested to see what impact this has had on the company as well as Exxon’s forecast regarding oil prices in the future. As oil prices have declined, oil giant Exxon was forced to cut spending and earlier this year, the company announced that it had reduced its capital spending to $34 billion, down 12 percent. In order to save money, Exxon also reduced its share buybacks. Based on this, Exxon is expected to report revenue of $53.63 billion compared to sales of $106.77 billion the same time a year ago. Also, the integrated oil giant is expected to report earnings per share of 82 cents a share compared with $2.10 a share a year ago. In the past 12 months, the shares of Exxon Mobil have declined by almost 14 percent, with a 0.6 percent drop in the last 3 months. This is down compared to the 10 percent gains for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) over the last twelve months as well as a 5 percent increase in the last 3 months. Most analysts rate Exxon stock as a hold and according to FactSet, the average price target is $94.06 a share. This target is currently approximately 8 percent above the current stock price.


INDICES
On Wednesday, U.S. stocks ended the volatile trading session lower. This came after the Federal Reserve left all options open regarding the timing of interest rate hikes. In their statement, which followed its two-day policy meeting, the central bank stated that while the first quarter of the year saw a slowdown in the U.S. economy, a rebound is expected. As a result, the Nasdaq Composite index (COMP) dropped 0.6%, or 31.78 points, at 5,023.64. The top performer on the tech heavy index was China Yida Holding Co (NASDAQ:CNYD) which rose 61.87 percent to 4.500. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) also declined 0.4%, or 74.61 points, to 18,035.53. The best performer of the session on the blue chip index was Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT), which traded at 87.50, up 1.51%. Also on the downside was the S&P 500 index (SPX) which closed down 0.4%, or 7.91 points, at 2,106.85. Losses on the benchmark index were led by consumer discretionary, health care and consumer staples companies.


CURRENCIES
The U.S. dollar (USD) traded lower on Wednesday. This came after poor economic data showed that the economic growth in the U.S. slowed more sharply than expected during the 1st-quarter. In their report, the Commerce Department showed that the GDP (gross domestic product) in the U.S. grew in the first quarter by only 0.2 percent. This was a decline from 2.2% in the final quarter of last year. This also marked the slowest rate of growth in a year. In a separate report from the National Association of Realtors, data showed that the index for pending home sales increased 1.1 percent in March, beating expectations for a 1.0% gain. Meanwhile, EUR/USD traded at 1.1127, up 1.32% while the GBP/USD also traded up 0.66% at 1.5439. Against the Canadian dollar and the yen, the greenback traded mixed with USD/CAD down 0.52% and trading at 1.1970 while the USD/JPY held steady at 118.93. Also, the U.S. dollar index was at 95.26, down 0.97 percent.


COMMODITIES
On Thursday, in early morning trading in Asia, crude oil prices declined. WTI crude for delivery in June was trading at $58.46 a barrel, down 0.21 percent. Overnight on Wednesday, crude futures rose to reach their highest level since the end of last year. This came in response to data which showed that the buildup last week came in lower than expected which helped to alleviate supply concerns. In their weekly report on Wednesday, the EIA (Energy Information Administration) said that for the week ended 24 April, crude inventories increased by 1.9 million barrels. This was way below estimates for an increase of 3.3 million barrel. Meanwhile on Wednesday, Brent crude oil for June delivery traded at $65.83 a barrel, up $1.19, on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE).

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Wednesday 29 April 2015

Markets Commentary 29.04.2015


Stocks were mixed around the globe as investors awaited the results of the Federal Reserve meeting.

Commodities
At the London afternoon fixing, gold increased $9.00 to $1209.00, and copper futures were up 0.4% to reach $2.79. In oil, Dated Brent spot crude decreased $0.20 to reach $64.63. WTI spot crude decreased $0.02 to reach $56.97.

Currencies 
The Dollar Index dropped 0.9% as the USD decreased relative to the EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD and AUD. However, it increased against the CHF.


United States Equities
Stocks in the US market were mixed as the Conference Board said that consumer confidence was weak in April due to a slowdown in hiring. The Dow Jones industrials gained 0.4%, the S&P 500 increased 0.3% and the Nasdaq dropped 0.1%.
Twitter plummeted more than 25% after reporting that adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations while revenues came in lower than projected. Apple declined as quarterly profits came in below analyst expectations. Whirlpool sank as the company lowered its 2015 forecast due to a rising USD and decreasing demand for its appliances in Brazil.

European Equities
Over in Europe, equities markets were down across the board as investors awaited the upcoming US FOMC announcement. Profit taking also played a role as well as weak UK first quarter GDP. The London FTSE and Swiss SMI decreased 1.0%, while the Italian MIB and Spanish Ibex dropped 1.2% and 0.3% respectively. The French CAC retreated 1.8% while the German DAX was down 1.9%.

In terms of individual stocks, Commerzbank declined due to stock dilution worries. Deutsche Bank also retreated. GDF finished lower after reporting a 10% drop in first quarter profits. Orange also dropped due to weak results that came in with previous forecasts. Total advanced while BP was down despite better than expected profits for both businesses. Standard Chartered depreciated after posting a 22% drop in first quarter pre-tax profit.



Asia Pacific Equities
Equities markets in the Asia Pacific region were mixed with shares in Australia, China, South Korea and Singapore sliding while those in Japan advanced. The Shanghai Composite was down after the country’s securities regulator issued a warning statement to investors regarding market risks. In China, the Shanghai Composite decreased 1.1% while in Hong Kong the Hang Seng index was virtually unchanged.

In Japan, the Nikkei gained 0.4%. Honda Motor finished higher prior to releasing quarterly earnings. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group edged up on a Nikkei report that showed a possible ¥1 trillion net profit in 2014. Mitsubishi Electric moved ahead after the company posted a fiscal 2015 attributable profit that increased 53% from last year. Tokyo Electron edged down after the company canceled its merger deal with Applied Materials.
The S&P/ASX and All Ordinaries both dropped 0.6%.

Macro Themes and Looking Ahead
The Eurozone will be releasing March M3 money supply data and April EC economic sentiment. The FOMC will announce its latest monetary policy decision. The US will be posting its first estimate of first quarter GDP.

Tuesday 28 April 2015

Daily Market Review 28.04.2015



STOCKS
On Tuesday, Pfizer Inc. (PFE, -1.93%) will report first quarter earnings. Investors will be closely watching if the pharmaceutical giant has managed to cope with their product line slowly being depleted which came about as a result of expiring patents. Market expectations are that Pfizer’s profits and revenue will be down compared to the same period last year. Despite this bearish outlook on this drug-making company, the shares of Pfizer keep climbing. Interestingly, Pfizer has now slipped into 4th place in terms of the world’s top pharmaceutical company after holding the No. 1 spot for quite some time. Added to this, Pfizer is quickly losing exclusivity on certain drugs such as arthritis treatment Celebrex, cholesterol drug Lipitor, and erectile dysfunction drug Viagra. According to analysts polled by FactSet, Pfizer is expected to report adjusted earnings of 49 cents a share which will be 6 cents down from the same period last year. Meanwhile, Estimize’s expectation on adjusted income is at 51 cents a share. Also, Pfizer is expected to report revenue of $10.7 billion which is down 5% from last year’s revenue of $11.3 billion in the same quarter. Pfizer stocks are currently trading between $34 to $35 a share which is close to both its 10 year and 52 week highs.



INDICES
On Monday, U.S. stocks declined with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq sliding down from their record highs reached on Friday. This decline came as a result of investor caution in response to the Federal Reserve policy meeting which will begin today. At the close of trading, the Nasdaq Composite index (COMP) declined 0.6%, or 31.84 points, to 5,060.25. Losses on the tech heavy index were led by biotechnology stocks as Mylan (NASDAQ:MYL) rejected an acquisition bid by Tel Aviv-based Teva Pharma Industries Ltd (ARCA:TEVA). Also, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped 0.2%, or 42.17 points, to 18,037.97. The worst performer on the blue chip index was McDonald`s Corporation (NYSE:MCD) which declined 2.37 percent to 96.40. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 index (SPX) closed down 0.4%, or 8.76 points, to 2,108.93. The top performer on the index was Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc. (NYSE:FCX), which gained 4.80 percent to 21.82. This advance came in response to a $25 increase in gold futures.


CURRENCIES
On Monday, the U.S. dollar (USD) pared gains in quiet trading. This came after the USD recovered from a decline as a result of downbeat data released on Friday on industrial production, home sales and retail sales while investors shift their focus to the policy statement by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday. The EUR/USD held steady and traded at 1.0869 while the GBP/USD also traded steady at 1.5178. Meanwhile, the greenback traded steady against the Swiss franc and up against the Japanese yen with USD/CHF at 0.9546 and with USD/JPY trading at 119.23, up 0.21 percent. Also, the U.S. dollar index was steady at 97.13.


COMMODITIES
On Tuesday, in early Asian trading, crude oil prices declined. This came as investors showed concern regarding increased conflict in Yemen while industry supply data is expected out of the U.S. today when the American Petroleum Institute will report on crude, distillate and gasoline stockpiles for the end of last week. This will then be followed by the more closely watched weekly report from the Department of Energy on Wednesday. WTI crude for delivery in June traded at $56.71 a barrel, down 0.50%, on the NYMEX. Meanwhile on Monday, Brent crude for delivery in June traded at $64.86 a barrel, down 0.64% or 0.42.

Monday 27 April 2015

Forex Pivot Points & Technical Analysis 27.04.2015


Daily technical analysis for major currency pairs, main support and resistance levels and intra-day trading strategies based on same day Pivot Points.

Forex Pivot Points:
 Pivot points are very useful tools for FX professional traders that use the previous bars' highs, lows and closings to project potential support and resistance levels for future bars.


EURUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.0850$ with targets at 1.0920$ next 1.0970$ in extension.

Alternatively, Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.0850$ with targets at 1.0805$ next 1.0735$ in extension.

EURUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.1050, 1.1115, 1.1270, 1.1445
Support: 1.0660,1.0520, 1.0500, 1.0460, 1.0385, 1.0320

GBPUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.5135$ with targets at 1.5240$ next 1.5295$ in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish Scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.5135$ with targets at 1.5080$ next 1.4970$ in extension.

GBPUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.5195, 1.5315, 1.5480
Support: 1.5055, 1.4855, 1.4740, 1.4570, 1.4415


USDCHF - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.9535 with targets at 0.9565 next 0.9600 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.9535 with targets at 0.9495 next 0.9470 in extension.

USDCHF - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 0.9720, 0.9755, 0.9865, 1.0130, 1.0240, 1.0300
Support:  0.9475, 0.9450, 0.9345, 0.9165

USDJPY - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 119.05 with targets at 119.40 next 119.95 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 119.05 with targets at 118.50 next 118.20 in extension.

USDJPY - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 120.10, 120.85, 122.05, 122.50, 123.00
Support: 118.50, 118.25, 118.00, 117.05, 116.85

USDCAD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.2150 with targets at 1.2205 next 1.2240 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.2150 with targets at 1.2115 next 1.2065 in extension.


USDCAD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.2305, 1.2350, 1.2440, 1.2670, 1.2785
Support: 1.2085, 1.2045, 1.2020

AUDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7805 with targets at 0.7845 next 0.7880 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7805 with targets at 0.7770 next 0.7725 in extension.

AUDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 0.7845, 0.7940, 0.8035
Support: 0.7680, 0.7650, 0.7530, 0.7460, 0.7380

NZDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7585 with targets at 0.7640 next 0.7690 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7585 with targets at 0.7530 next 0.7480 in extension.

NZDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance:  0.7695, 0.7740, 0.7795
Support: 0.7535, 0.7420, 0.7390

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Friday 24 April 2015

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As binary options are a fairly new trend in the financial industry there have been a lot of misplaced myths about trading them particularly as when people hear the word ‘options’ they think of complicated financial derivatives. In fact, binary options are not a complicated mystery at all, and here, we aim to simplify binary options for you.





Dispelling the Myths
Firstly, many people believe that trading binary options successfully is based on luck. This is not the case, and although there are at times last minute extreme changes in prices, if you learn trading strategies you will be able to predict fairly accurately the price behaviour of an asset and thereby make a profit on your trades. You don’t have to be a financial guru to trade binary options. If you have the correct approach binary option trading can a wonderful method of increasing your income. You just need to be positive and want to spend time learning about the characteristics of binary trading. Binary options were designed to be traded as a simple investment route compared to the other conventional markets such as the foreign exchange and commodities markets.

Anyone can trade binary options, however, it’s not for investors with a gambler’s mentality. A trader with a gambler’s mentality can lose a lot of money as all they do all day is mindlessly buy calls and puts. Predicting if the price of an asset is going to fall or rise within an hour is very exciting because in a moment the price can change due to economic news or some other information which can cause an asset to gain or lose in price.

Also many people think you need a lot of money to start trading options. This is also a myth. In reality, you can open an account with a respectable account manager with very little money. 


Most people think that trading binary options means sitting in front of your computer all day long buying or selling calls and puts and then being stressed out for days waiting for your option to expire while wondering if you predicted the right way or not. This is not the case as binary options are short term investments which on Banc De Binary’s platform include expiration periods as low as 30 seconds. So they are very short-term, stress-free, investments indeed.

Another popular myth is that before you start making money and become a successful trader, you must lose a lot of money while you are going through a trading learning curve. This is not true at all as a trade can be made on as little as $1, thereby allowing plenty of room for practice. In a nutshell binary option trading is simple and affordable and is fast becoming the investment of choice.

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Thursday 23 April 2015

Forex Pivot Points & Technical Analysis 23.04.2015


Daily technical analysis for major currency pairs, main support and resistance levels and intra-day trading strategies based on same day Pivot Points.

Forex Pivot Points:
 Pivot points are very useful tools for FX professional traders that use the previous bars' highs, lows and closings to project potential support and resistance levels for future bars.


EURUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.0745$ with targets at 1.0780$ next 1.0840$ in extension.

Alternatively, Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.0745$ with targets at 1.0690$ next 1.0650$ in extension.

EURUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.0850, 1.1050, 1.1115, 1.1270, 1.1445
Support: 1.0520, 1.0500, 1.0460, 1.0385, 1.0320, 1.0280

GBPUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.5010$ with targets at 1.5105$ next 1.5180$ in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish Scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.5010$ with targets at 1.4940$ next 1.4840$ in extension.

GBPUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.5080, 1.5195, 1.5315, 1.5480
Support: 1.4855, 1.4740, 1.4570, 1.4415


USDCHF - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.9635 with targets at 0.9775 next 0.9855 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.9635 with targets at 0.9560 next 0.9420 in extension.

USDCHF - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 0.9755, 0.9865, 1.0130, 1.0240, 1.0300
Support:  0.9475, 0.9450, 0.9345, 0.9165

USDJPY - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 119.75 with targets at 120.20 next 120.40 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 119.75 with targets at 119.50 next 119.10 in extension.

USDJPY - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 120.10, 120.85, 122.05, 122.50, 123.00
Support: 119.40, 118.25, 118.00, 117.05, 116.85

USDCAD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.2245 with targets at 1.2285 next 1.2330 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.2245 with targets at 1.2205 next 1.2160 in extension.


USDCAD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.2305, 1.2350, 1.2440, 1.2670, 1.2785
Support: 1.2200, 1.2085, 1.2045, 1.2020

AUDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7750 with targets at 0.7805 next 0.7860 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7750 with targets at 0.7695 next 0.7640 in extension.

AUDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 0.7785, 0.7845, 0.7940, 0.8035
Support: 0.7680, 0.7650, 0.7530, 0.7460, 0.7380

NZDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7670 with targets at 0.7705 next 0.7770 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7670 with targets at 0.7605 next 0.7570 in extension.

NZDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance:  0.7630, 0.7740, 0.7795
Support: 0.7550, 0.7420, 0.7390

Wednesday 22 April 2015

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Forex Pivot Points & Technical Analysis 22.04.2015


Daily technical analysis for major currency pairs, main support and resistance levels and intra-day trading strategies based on same day Pivot Points.

Forex Pivot Points:
Pivot points are very useful tools for FX professional traders that use the previous bars' highs, lows and closings to project potential support and resistance levels for future bars.


EURUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.0725$ with targets at 1.0795$ next 1.0850$ in extension.

Alternatively, Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.0725$ with targets at 1.0670$ next 1.0605$ in extension.

EURUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.0850, 1.1050, 1.1115, 1.1270, 1.1445
Support: 1.0520, 1.0500, 1.0460, 1.0385, 1.0320, 1.0280

GBPUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.4920$ with targets at 1.4985$ next 1.5035$ in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish Scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.4920$ with targets at 1.4865$ next 1.4800$ in extension.

GBPUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.5055, 1.5195, 1.5315, 1.5480
Support: 1.4740, 1.4570, 1.4415

USDCHF - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.9560 with targets at 0.9615 next 0.9680 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.9560 with targets at 0.9495 next 0.9435 in extension.



USDCHF - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 0.9755, 0.9865, 1.0130, 1.0240, 1.0300
Support:  0.9475, 0.9450, 0.9345, 0.9165

USDJPY - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 119.55 with targets at 119.90 next 120.20 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 119.55 with targets at 119.30 next 118.95 in extension.

USDJPY - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 119.85, 120.85, 122.05, 122.50, 123.00
Support: 118.25, 118.00, 117.05, 116.85

USDCAD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.2265 with targets at 1.2310 next 1.2355 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.2265 with targets at 1.2220 next 1.2170 in extension.

USDCAD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 1.2350, 1.2440, 1.2670, 1.2785, 1.2835
Support: 1.2085, 1.2045, 1.2020

AUDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7715 with targets at 0.7750 next 0.7790 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7715 with targets at 0.7675 next 0.7645 in extension.


AUDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance: 0.7785, 0.7845, 0.7940, 0.8035
Support: 0.7680, 0.7650, 0.7530, 0.7460, 0.7380

NZDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
 Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7670 with targets at 0.7710 next 0.7750 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7670 with targets at 0.7630 next 0.7590 in extension.

NZDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
 Resistance:  0.7740, 0.7795
Support: .0.7615, 0.7575, 0.7420, 0.7390

Tuesday 21 April 2015

Daily Market Review 21.04.2015



STOCKS
On Thursday, after the close of trading, Google Inc. (GOOGL, +2.21%) is expected to report 1st quarter earnings. With increased competition from other mobile advertising rivals such as Facebook Inc. (FB, +2.87%), Google has struggled to surpass revenue expectations. According to Ross Sandler, an analyst from Deutsche Bank, investor sentiment around Google has declined on concerns that their paid-clicks will decline. For the first quarter, the internet giant reported that there was an 11 percent growth in paid-clicks yet this missed analysts’ expectations for a 17% increase. Analysts also expect Google to report adjusted EPS (earnings per share) and GAAP of $6.61. This would mark a 5.4 percent improvement year over year compared to last year’s results of $6.27. Added to this, analysts forecast that Google will report revenue of $14 billion. This excludes traffic acquisition costs. Compared to the $12.2 billion reported at the same time last year, this will mark a 15 percent improvement. Over the last year, Google shares have been trading flat and are currently at around $544.74 a share. Over the last 3 months, there has been a growth of 7 percent in the company’s share price.


INDICES
In trading on Monday, U.S. stocks rallied to post their biggest advance in 3 weeks. This increase came in response to better than expected earnings reports which boosted investor sentiment. With Microsoft Corp, Apple Inc. and IBM Corp leading the gains, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) advanced 1.2%, or 208.63 points, to 18,034.93. Twenty four of the blue chip index’s 30 components finished in positive territory. The top performer on the DJIA was International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM), which traded at $166.16, up 3.42% or 5.49 points. Also advancing was the S&P 500 index (SPX) which closed 0.9%, or 19.22 points, higher at 2,100.40, led by gains in the technology sector. The top performer on the SPX was Hasbro Inc. (NASDAQ:HAS) which advanced 12.55 percent to 74.16. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite index (COMP) also rose and ended the session up 1.3%, or 62.79 points, at 4,994.60. Also, the CBOE Volatility Index, which measures the implied volatility of S&P 500 options, was at 13.27, down 4.46 percent.


CURRENCIES
On Monday, the U.S. dollar (USD) held gains on low trading volumes. Investor sentiment on the greenback was vulnerable as a result of the soft economic data released last week on the consumer price index and core consumer prices. The EUR/USD traded at 1.0756, down 0.48 percent. This decline comes as concerns mount regarding Greece and its current inability to reach an agreement with its creditors on economic reforms for bailout funds. Investors are now concerned that Greece could be forced out of the eurozone. Also, the British pound and the Japanese yen traded lower against the USD with GBP/USD down 0.31% to 1.4912 and with USD/JPY up 0.3% and trading at 119.30. Against the Canadian and Australian dollars, the U.S. dollar traded mixed with AUD/USD down 0.71% at 0.7730 and with USD/CAD down 0.47% to trade at 1.2190. Also, the U.S. dollar index was at 98.00, up 0.39%.


COMMODITIES
On Tuesday, in morning Asian trading, crude oil prices declined. This came as investors turn their attention to the industry data on petroleum stocks expected out of the U.S. today while tensions in Yemen have prompted concerns regarding supply. Today, the American Petroleum Institute (API) will release its estimates of the stockpiles of distillate, gasoline and crude as of last week. On Wednesday, this will then be followed by a report from the U.S. Department of Energy. WTI crude for delivery in June traded at $57.78 a barrel, down 0.18 percent, on the NYMEX. Overnight on Monday, crude oil prices rose in response to the escalating tensions in Yemen which reduced investor concerns regarding the global supply glut of crude oil. Meanwhile, Brent crude futures for delivery in June traded at $63.52 a barrel on Monday on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE). Last week, both Brent and WTI crude futures reached a four-month high.

Monday 20 April 2015

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Daily Market Review 20.04.2015



STOCKS
On Monday, after the close of trading, IBM Corp. (IBM, -1.51%) is scheduled to report first quarter earnings. In the final quarter of 2014, IBM delivered poor results which missed analyst expectations. This decline came as a result of poor sales as the Big Blue is struggling with its transition from more traditional hardware to a software- and cloud-focused company. In 8 of the last quarters, IBM has missed sales expectations seven times. In January, the shares of IBM declined 3% after the company released a weaker than expected full year outlook. For the first quarter, analysts forecast IBM to report non-GAAP earnings of $2.81 and GAAP earnings of $2.82. For the same quarter last year, IBM reported a profit of $2.54 a share. Meanwhile, as a result of Estimize, IBM is expected to report earnings of $2.95 a share in the first quarter. Estimize is a software platform which uses crowdsourcing in order to gather earnings estimates from brokerages, hedge fund executives as well as sell-side and buy-side analysts. In the last quarter, the Estimize consensus was $5.47. Added to this, IBM is expected to report revenue of $19.7 billion compared to $22.5 billion in the same period last year. This marks a decline of 12 percent year-over-year. IBM shares are currently trading at $160.67 a share.

INDICES
On Friday last week, U.S. stocks sold off. This came in response to investor fears of the future of Greece in the eurozone as well as new regulations in the Chinese stock market. As a result, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the S&P 500 index (SPX) suffered their worst 1-day point decline in more than 3 weeks. After two consecutive weekly gains, U.S. stocks ended last week with losses. At the close of trading, the DJIA declined 1.5 percent, or 279.67 points, to 17,826.10. For the week, this blue chip index declined 1.3%, turning negative fort the year. Pushing the DJIA lower were the shares of American Express Co. (AXP, -4.44%) which declined 4.4 percent after reporting poor earnings. Following this decline was the Nasdaq Composite index (COMP) which dropped 1.5%, or 75.98 points, to 4,931.81. For the week, the tech heavy index lost 1.3 percent. Also on Friday, the SPX dropped 1.1%, or 23.83 points, at 2,081.16. For the week, the benchmark index lost 1 percent.


CURRENCIES 
On Friday, the U.S. dollar (USD) was little changed. This came in response to a strong consumer sentiment report in the U.S. which helped to ease concerns regarding the timing of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. According to the University of Michigan, its consumer sentiment index rose from 93.0 in March to 95.9 in April. This beat expectations for a reading of 94.0. Added to this, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that in March, consumer prices rose 0.2 percent, missing expectations for a 0.3 percent increase. Also, core consumer prices, which exclude energy and food, rose 0.2 percent in March which was in line with expectations. In currency trading, the EUR/USD traded at 1.0761, while the GBP/USD traded at 1.4981, up 0.31%. Also, against the Swiss franc and the yen, the greenback traded mixed with USD/CHF down 0.14% to 0.9548 and with USD/JPY steady at 119.09. The U.S. dollar index was also steady at 97.87.

COMMODITIES
On Monday, in Asian trading, crude oil prices advanced. This increase came as China sharply cut the ratio of cash that banks need to set aside as reserves over the weekend. This move was made in order to accelerate economic growth. On Sunday, the central bank in China announced that it had lowered the deposit amounts held by banks as reserves from 19.5 percent to 18.5%. Meanwhile, crude oil for May delivery traded at $57.82 a barrel, up 0.86 percent, on the NYMEX. On the week last week, New York-traded oil prices increased 7.97 percent, or $3.93. This marked the 4th consecutive weekly gain. Elsewhere, Brent for delivery in June traded at $63.45 a barrel on Friday, down 0.83%, or 53 cents, on the ICE Futures Exchange in London.

FX Market Commentary 20.04.2015



FX - EURO



THE EURO closed lower on Friday as it extends last week's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signalling that a shortterm top might be in or is near. If it extends this week's decline, the 25% retracement level of the June March rally crossing is the next downside target. If it renews this month's rally, March's high crossing is the next upside target.

FX - YEN



THE YEN closed lower on Friday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below March's low crossing are needed to renew the decline off March's high, March's high crossing is the next upside target.

FX - SWISS FRANC



THE SWISS FRANC closed lower on Friday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If it extends last week's decline, the 38% retracement level of the January March rally crossing is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's high crossing would confirm that a triple bottom has been posted.

FX - STERLING



STERLING closed higher on Friday as it extends last week's rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signalling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If it extends last week's rally, the reaction high crossing is the next upside target.

Friday 17 April 2015

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Thursday 16 April 2015

Forex Pivot Points & Technical Analysis 16.04.2015


Daily technical analysis for major currency pairs, main support and resistance levels and intra-day trading strategies based on same day Pivot Points.

Forex Pivot Points:
 Pivot points are very useful tools for FX professional traders that use the previous bars' highs, lows and closings to project potential support and resistance levels for future bars.


EURUSD - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.0640$ with targets at 1.0745$ next 1.0815$ in extension.

Alternatively, Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.0640$ with targets at 1.0570$ next 1.0460$ in extension.

EURUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 1.0720, 1.1050, 1.1115, 1.1270, 1.1445
Support: 1.0520, 1.0500, 1.0460, 1.0385, 1.0320, 1.0280

GBPUSD - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.4795$ with targets at 1.4885$ next 1.4950$ in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish Scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.4795$ with targets at 1.4735$ next 1.4640$ in extension.

GBPUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 1.4900, 1.4980, , 1.5010, 1.5195, 1.5315, 1.5480
Support: 1.4740,  .4570, 1.4415


USDCHF - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.9675 with targets at 0.9745 next 0.9840 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.9675 with targets at 0.9580 next 0.9510 in extension.

USDCHF - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 0.9755, 0.9865, 1.0130, 1.0240, 1.0300
Support:  0.9475, 0.9450, 0.9345, 0.9165

USDJPY - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 119.25 with targets at 119.65 next 120.20 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 119.25 with targets at 118.70 next 118.25 in extension.

USDJPY - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 119.75, 120.85, 122.05, 122.50, 123.00
Support: 118.75, 118.25, 118.00, 117.05, 116.85


USDCAD - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 1.2385 with targets at 1.2490 next 1.2675 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 1.2385 with targets at 1.2200 next 1.2095 in extension.

USDCAD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 1.2360, 1.2440, 1.2670, 1.2785, 1.2835
Support: 1.2250, 1.2100, 1.2045, 1.2020

AUDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7650 with targets at 0.7725 next 0.7780 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7650 with targets at 0.7595 next 0.7520 in extension.

AUDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 0.7785, 0.7845, 0.7940, 0.8035
Support: 0.7750, 0.7530, 0.7460, 0.7380

NZDUSD - Day Trading Strategies
Bullish scenario: Long positions above the daily pivot point 0.7565 with targets at 0.7645 next 0.7700 in extension.

Alternatively, Bearish scenario: Short positions below the daily pivot point 0.7565 with targets at 0.7510 next 0.7430 in extension.

NZDUSD - Daily Chart Support and Resistance levels
Resistance: 0.7640, 0.7695, 0.7700, 0.7795
Support: .0.7570, 0.7420, 0.7390, 0.7310, 0.7175